Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.160837e-03 0.002353 0.002545 0.002752 0.002966 0.003182 0.003417
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.730079e-03 0.002027 0.002334 0.002673 0.003037 0.003413 0.003830
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.398883e-03 0.001774 0.002178 0.002638 0.003144 0.003679 0.004285
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.161544e-03 0.001600 0.002089 0.002664 0.003311 0.004009 0.004812
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 9.592499e-04 0.001444 0.002006 0.002684 0.003466 0.004324 0.005325
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 8.113207e-04 0.001335 0.001964 0.002745 0.003661 0.004681 0.005886
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 6.800422e-04 0.001231 0.001918 0.002791 0.003834 0.005012 0.006416
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 5.563446e-04 0.001120 0.001852 0.002806 0.003966 0.005293 0.006889
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 4.267402e-04 0.000982 0.001740 0.002755 0.004012 0.005469 0.007239
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 3.380012e-04 0.000890 0.001676 0.002758 0.004119 0.005712 0.007664
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.662716e-04 0.000810 0.001624 0.002768 0.004230 0.005958 0.008090
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.299243e-04 0.000784 0.001641 0.002867 0.004449 0.006331 0.008664
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.004790e-04 0.000770 0.001682 0.003008 0.004734 0.006800 0.009371
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.232060e-04 0.000644 0.001550 0.002912 0.004721 0.006912 0.009663
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 7.272731e-05 0.000551 0.001457 0.002866 0.004769 0.007098 0.010043
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.382671e-05 0.000494 0.001416 0.002887 0.004902 0.007389 0.010551
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.262257e-05 0.000441 0.001374 0.002904 0.005029 0.007672 0.011050
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.113125e-05 0.000407 0.001362 0.002964 0.005211 0.008023 0.011632
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.531093e-06 0.000372 0.001343 0.003010 0.005373 0.008350 0.012184
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 8.045768e-08 0.000329 0.001305 0.003024 0.005493 0.008621 0.012669
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000271 0.001225 0.002970 0.005515 0.008768 0.013000
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000234 0.001184 0.002973 0.005612 0.009009 0.013447
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000203 0.001150 0.002983 0.005720 0.009262 0.013906